“Words of Ingram” Bold Predictions Part One


Can you believe it faithful followers; we are 7 weeks into the “Words of Ingram” and still going strong!  Thank you to everyone who continues to support me by clicking, reading, commenting, emailing and taking time out of your busy schedules to participate in my little piece of the literary world.  It has been a hell of a ride thus far, and we are only getting started.  Now, if I could be serious for a moment (Lance Storm), I’d like to let everyone know that in only a few short weeks, the very talented writers of majorleaguefantasysports.com will begin their rankings for the upcoming fantasy football season!  These are truly some of the most enjoyable times in fantasy sports, as we’re all able to share our viewpoints on a vast number of players.
Since things will be getting quite focused soon, I wanted to take the next two weeks and have a little bit of fun.
This week, I want to talk about making some bold predictions.  I will preface this by saying most of these predictions are going to be quite ostentatious and I am really hoping the result of this article will be more participation and feedback by the readers.  Hell, I would love to make some friendly $1 bets with my fellow readers about some bold predictions.  If we want to be humanitarians, we can even donate winnings to a charity of the winners choosing.
So, with the intro out-of-the-way, allow me to begin my bold predictions, “The Positive Edition!”

jay cutler
QB – Jay Cutler finishes the year in the top 5 at QB
If I were gambling, this would be one that I would jump all over.  However, we’re trying to be bold right, and not much could be more bold (within reason) than this prediction.  It’s not that we question the abilities of Jay Cutler as he averages about 3000 yards and 20 touchdowns a season.  He has a very big arm and touts one of the best offenses in the NFL.  The general knock on Jay Cutler is that he’s very, very soft.  Cutler will always be remembered for his “injury” in the NFC game in 2011 when he had an MCL sprain, but spent the next 10 minutes riding the stationary bike.  The belief is that the Bears offensive line should be significantly improved, as the four new starters they had last season are now able to gel with one another more; and continue to provide support for Cutler.  Consider the 50% reduction in sacks that Cutler took from last year to 2012.  I do understand that he missed 5 games, so if you do the math, he would have taken roughly 29, down from the 38 of the year before.  One cannot ignore the receiving ability and production of Matt Forte as well as the emergence of Alshon Jeffery and arguably the best receiver in the NFL in Brandon Marshall.  Well, maybe not the best, but the second best for my money.  If I were to give my bold prediction on Cutler’s numbers at the end of the year:  3500 yards, 35 touchdowns, 8 interceptions.

zac stacy
RB – Zac Stacy finishes as the #3 running back
Is this one bold enough for you?  I almost feel that I should have done my negative bold predictions prior to an article on positive predictions; however I’m this far into the article so onward we march!  Zac Stacy proved to be the breakout star of fantasy football last year.  The early parts of the year were spent discussing which of the three Rams running backs could make the biggest impact.  In just 12 starts, Zac Stacy had over 1000 yards from scrimmage and 8 scores.  Stacy is a large, bruising back who will be running behind a top 10 offensive line.  The Rams spent the first overall pick on the incredibly talented Greg Robinson, will have healthy Jake Long and also re-signed Rodger Safford.  The Rams lack much of a passing attack, which will only serve to increase the amount of touches that Zac Stacy should see.  As well as a strong offensive line, the Rams also have a top 10 ranked defense which should allow them to play a clock control type offense.  My predictions for Stacy:  1300 yards rushing, 12 rushing TD’s, 300 yards receiving, 40 receptions and 3 passing touchdowns.  Zac Stacy is my bold pick at the running back position.

desean jackson
WR – Desean Jackson finishes in the top 3
While maybe not incredibly bold, I still believe that anytime you’re putting someone above Thomas, Marshall or Bryant it’s a big deal.  I’m anticipating huge things from a player I generally dislike, which seems to be par for the course in terms of my positive bold predictions.  Desean Jackson was always a bit of a head case in Philadelphia, but was still productive none the less.  Since his coming out party in 2009, Jackson had been regressing statistically until last season.  Last season was the first time he had been healthy since ’09, and the results were a career high in receptions and yards.  What we didn’t see, however, were more running plays.  Early in his career, Jackson was able to run for 100 yards a year, however those numbers were greatly reduced due to injury.  I don’t anticipate seeing running numbers like those considering his health, and also the offensive scheme of the Redskins.  However, I do believe we will see some rushing as the ‘Skins do enjoy running the option and Jackson can represent a threat.  Many people believe Pierre Garcon to be the primary option for RG3, however I’m in the camp that believes Jackson will reap the rewards, while Garcon will see a big reduction.  Jackson is the type of player whom feels the need to be wanted, accepted and appreciated.  Philly is notorious for being vicious, and I don’t think Desean felt those things because of it.  This will be the year that Deasean Jackson reminds everyone why he is one of the most feared receivers in all of football.  His production should be staggering and he will lead the ‘Skins to a division title, and possibly take them deep into the playoffs.  If you haven’t noticed by now, I am all in on the ‘Skins this year.  My bold predictions for Desean Jackson:  98 receptions, 1476 yards, 11 touchdowns, 85 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown.

scott chandler
TE – Scott Chandler finishes as a top 10 TE

I was going to rank him a bit higher, but I would like this bold prediction to have merit to it.  Scott Chandler is a player whom I’ve always liked, and have absolutely owned every single year.  He has always been an incredibly serviceable #2 tight end, and I anticipate his numbers to continue increasing.  To point, Chandler has seen an increase in production each season in terms of receptions, targets and yards.  Last season he saw a reduction from his 6 touchdown average, however I believe this will not be the case in 2014.  The Buffalo Bills parted ways with Stevie Johnson, leaving rookie Sammy Watkins and incumbent Mike Williams as the primary receiving backs.  Each player will be new to the scheme in Buffalo, leaving Chandler as the “veteran”.  This should be fantastic for EJ Manuel as he will need a safety valve as he returns from injury and will continue to make his mark on the NFL.  I’m not a huge believer in his abilities, which generally means an upswing in production for the TE.  One could point at Mike Williams and his general value as a red zone target as a reduction in points for Chandler.  After all, the Bills spent all that money to bring in an end zone guy, so why would we see Chandler getting these points?  It’s true that Williams will take some value away from Chandler, but I believe that the value will still exist and still exist in the form of a top 10 TE.  If you can’t score one of the big boys, you should feel comfort in knowing you’ll get a fairly consistent player in Chandler.  My bold prediction for Chandler:  67 receptions, 875 yards, 5 touchdowns.

Thus concludes my positive bold predictions.  Next week, I’ll take the time to throw four negative bold predictions out there, some of which may shock you and others you may say, “You know, he has a point there.”  As always, I would love to see YOUR bold predictions in the comments.  Thanks for reading and see you next week!

 

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Categories: Fantasy Football, Roster Analysis

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19 replies

  1. I appreciate the comments on reddit thus far, as well as the few emails and tweets I’ve seen. I know that some people will not agree with the above. It seems that most are taking offense to my calling Cutler soft. So I ask you, am I completely off base? Are these the views of fervent Bears fans only? If I am wrong, can someone name me a “soft” QB?

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  2. I think Cutler is perceived as “soft” for the very reason you mentioned–that specific NFC championship game. BUT I believe and have always believed that Cutler is one of the toughest SOBs playing–physically and emotionally. That stationary bike incident is a perfect example. He wanted it to be minor–something on the order of a cramp. He wanted to work it out and get back on the field but in the end it wasn’t possible. Watch any football last year? How about trying to will his team to win with the injury he had in the Washington game?? How about taking a Pittsburgh defensive player head-on to get extra yardage?? This guy is probably one of the most polarizing players in the NFL and takes on mountains of criticism and has yet to my knowledge ever lashed out against anyone on his team or in the media. Don’t kid yourself-Cutler is one of the toughest and most competitive Players–let alone QBs–you will ever see.

    As far as your predictions–

    1. I have been saying for months now that if Cutler plays all 16 games he will be in the 5-7 range. This isn’t that bold –at least to me.

    2. I will take your money on Zac Stacy. Although I like Stacy and think he will have a good year, I do think that Tre Mason becomes part of a 70-30 split with Stacy. And with that kind of split I think he will be hard pressed to crack TOP 5 let alone TOP 3 status.

    3. Unless Garcon falls completely off the edge of the world this isn’t going to happen either. I will take your money on this also

    4. I completely agree. Not sure I even think this is bold

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    • My theory on why Cutler is labeled soft? He married Kristin Cavallari. Can’t be see as tough when you shack up with a chick from Laguna Beach.

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      • Bryan, keep it down, kids are trying to sleep. Or at least, let’s not go public with a softie definition yet…

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      • As a Vikings fan, I have a general disliking of other teams in the division. My experiences with Cutler, and dealings with other Bears fans have given him a “soft” label. He suffers from injuries that never look so terrible, and one incident completely tainted his view for millions of people. He may be “tough”, but he still is shaking the label.
        Look, I was not a fan of Big Ben for YEARS. It was illogical as he won Super Bowls. I get that, but it was a feeling just like my feeling is Cutler is kind of soft. This year can be his proving year.

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    • David, thank you for the response. Cutler is very polarizing, much more so than I anticipated based on the responses I have seen. To ask if I “watched any football last year” is sort of a trollish statement and based on all the other responses you have, I think you’re above that. I understand it’s a rhetorical statement, but of course I watched football last year. Cutler, to me, has not broken out of that soft mold. I will absolutely give Cutler a lot more focus this year to see if he can change my opinion.

      1. I consider it bold based on the general ranking of Cutler and his numbers last season. I have yet to see a Top 10 ranking on any site which has Cutler in the top 10, let alone in the top 5. So, I’m going 7 positions above literally every other site. I feel that’s pretty bold.

      2. I would gladly take this wager, though I would prefer you offer some bold choices of your own to make an equal playing field for a wager. I do agree, it will be VERY hard for him to crack the Top 3. However, I believe it’s incredibly bold (or stupid) to throw something like that out there. I actually see Jamal Charles dropping out of the top 3, maybe top 5. This was a “fun” pick.

      3. Same as #2, offer a counter bold prediction maybe? That would make it a little more fun. Garcon may not fall off the edge of the world, but he’ll draw double teams which will increase the value of D-Jax. Remember, these are BOLD predictions, not 100% logical ones. This was a sort of fun article to make people think

      4. See #1. I’ve yet to see a single prognosticator or fantasy ranking site put him in the top 10, with very few placing him in the top 12/14. Though, I am glad you agree :)

      Thanks for reading and taking the time to respond!

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  3. I find the Cutler arguments extremely humorous. Cutler had ONE season in his career 6 years ago where he would have been considered top 5! PERIOD! If picking him to finish top 5 is NOT a bold prediction then I am a monkey’s bald ass uncle. He was clearly out played by his back up last season who is now in line to start in Tampa. Also, I do not recall reading Ryan calling him soft. He said the “knock” on him is that. There IS a misconception that he is soft. I do not believe that either.

    The Stacy pick for break out is a good one. And your comments David I have heard regurgitated over and over by people online. The facts are that is even more of a stretch then Ryan’s bold prediction with Stacy. The facts are this is ALL speculation on your part David and Ryan’s. Just enjoy the banter and be respectful to people. I have yet to see Ryan respond to the troll like behavior he has received today from people who CLEARLY can not read. Especially on reddit. Good lord, those people read the word “soft” and started crying like a little school girl! Hilarious.

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    • ” So I ask you, am I completely off base?” “If I am wrong, can someone name me a “soft” QB?”

      Ryan himself said that the reason most people are taking issue with him is for calling Cutler soft. And these two statements although not outright saying it do imply that was his intent.

      Just for the record Ryan was the one throwing down the gauntlet and sweetening the pot by offering $1 wagers. That was what I was responding to. I post a lot on various fantasy forums and am usually closer than most people. But I get called out. As does anyone who is willing to post any opinion about fantasy. And I am always respectful.. In fact honestly- I was more respectful towards Ryan than you were to me. So I will say the same thing as you said–Be respectful

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      • Also just for the record–I was actually agreeing with him on Cutler

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      • I do like to sweeten the pot for sure! I do believe that Cutler has a perception of being soft, and based on that perception I think he has a sketchy history of injury.

        I do appreciate the response and feedback, and thought you were being respectful. Check out reddit for disrespectful posts :)

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      • “Also just for the record-I was actually agreeing with him on Cutler”

        I just misinterpreted what you were saying. I read it as, “That’s not very bold”, but you don’t think it’s bold because you agree. However, being the 1% who thinks he will exceed his projected ranking by 7-8 places is pretty bold for the both of us than.

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    • Yeah, reddit decided to have a field day with me. Some of it had basis, but the rest was just QQ’ing.
      I appreciate your support on two of these predictions.

      I may have been high as a kite on the Stacy one, in retrospect; but I wanted to be bold. Initially, I was going to have Eddie Lacy cracking the Top 3, but I felt that was only a general 3 spot jump and not very bold.

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      • Right. The key was Bold predictions and all four were bold. Some of the arguements in return were terrible considering a good amount of them were telling you that you weren’t being bold. Nonsense. It’s the internet so we will have our share back and forths. Just stick to your guns.

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      • If anything, hopefully they were so infuriated that they cannot wait to read next weeks article and bash that as well :)

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      • Hey, the Seattle forum tried to talk me down, but I told some of the negative commenters off in a very polite (some not so polite) manner, and stuck to my guns on my analysis. Redditers are always looking for fights, and you just have to sock ‘em in the mouth when the time’s right. The key is your guns and accuracy. They can’t defeat you if you have that.

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  4. here comes some extreme “hate”

    I agree with this man David Stevens, well except about cutler not yelling at his own players. He made pretty valid points on all four players.

    Cutler has talent around him with two strong receivers, a running back who can catch the ball and is good in the open space. His problem is he has too much of an ego and doesn’t know how to accept his faults. I give credit to him for that though, most people lose that sense of competition and won’t speak up. So, in a way I like that competitive nature, but the man needs to learn to admit his mistakes. It is not a bold prediction to say he has an opportunity to be a top 5 QB. A bold prediction would have been to say Tony Romo will be a top 5 QB.

    2. Stacy doesn’t stand a chance to be a top 3. I believe Tre Mason will be more successful in the NFL than most people think. I take that back, just looked at some game footage of Mason. that boy is a little soft. Does not break tackles very well, and not that great in open space. Stacy is definitely the better back of the two, he’s a harder running back. however, he just doesn’t have to speed and skills yet to be top three. At some point stacy can be better than lynch, same type of running style, except stacy doesn’t stiff arm.

    3.that’s just a simple no. no matter what team you put him on, he just does not posses the talent to be a top 3 WR. All he has is speed. And while speed does kill, he lacks the power to break tackles and break off defense backs who press or jam him. Not typically a go to guy when the game is on the line.

    4. Scott chandler is heavily under rated and will finish within the top ten, at worst exactly 10th. the only reason he does not receive much notice is because nobody notices anyone who plays for the bills. Even EJ gets forgotten

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    • Rudy,
      Thank you for taking the time to read and respond!

      1. Aha! This is what I like. I do not view Tony Romo and Jay Cutler in a very different light. I think that for either be placed in the top 5 is a very bold prediction. Hell, theoretically Romo would be less of a bold prediction based on his body of work vs. Cutlers. Romo has almost always had better fantasy years than Cutler, so why would he be more of a bold prediction?

      2. I am with you 100%. Stacy will become a better version of Lynch, and St. Louis absolutely has the offensive line. It will be very important for Bradford to have a solid year to give Stacy the ability to run. Otherwise, Stacy will face the same types of defenses that Peterson would face in Minnesota with 8 in the box.

      3. While I don’t disagree with what you said in terms of his skill set/lack of specific skills; I do believe he could possibly crack the top 3. Maybe top 3 is sketchy, but with him as a 8/9 ranking, I didn’t feel bold just putting him into the top 5. Where will you put Jackson at the end of the year? And again, bold, not necessarily totally accurate. This was more for fun. I actually think he’ll end the season around 5/6, but COULD hit 3.

      4. I’m glad you’re with me on this one. For people who find it either not bold or terrible; I question how much fantasy football they follow in terms of this player. Chandler is incredibly consistent, but plays on a terrible team which negates some of his value. Again, very glad you agree.

      Thanks again for taking the time to read and respond. I look forward to your feedback next week when I throw some players under the bus, and make people question whether I watch football at all, or just make things up :)

      Like

  5. OK, this post finally got the best of me. Let me just say a few things.
    1.) Cutler won’t be a top 5 QB, nor will Romo. Could Cutler finish in the top 10 with the emergence of Jeffery and with Marshall? Yeah, but not top 5. My QB bold prediction: Russell Wilson finishes in the top 5.
    2.) I like Stacy, but also see Mason taking a good number of touches. Is top 5-7 attainable for Stacy, yes. But he better impress early to keep the most touches for him. My bold prediction: Devonta Freeman is RB1 in ATL by midseason and rushes for over 700 yards and 5 scores.
    3.) Ryan, I appreciate your support for Corey’s team and a Skins receiver, but Garçon is WR1 in WASH and DJax will be in the top 15; not top 3. If he does finish in the top 3, I’ll shave my head bald, take a pic, buy a bottle of liquor and send it all to ya.
    4.) Chandler is now officially the only reliable, consistent option in Buffalo. Yes, Watkins has a ton of upside, but unproven. Chandler will be targeted a ton in Buffalo, especially in the red zone. Top 10 is certainly in the cards. Those looking for a deep sleeper at tight end, look at Ebron from DET. Could end up in the top 10 TE. BOOK IT.

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  6. Ben,
    Thanks for the response man. I’m glad it festered til you felt the need to respond :)

    1. So, you’re saying Wilson > Russell? I guess I have less faith in Wilson being a bold pick by going top 5 since he’s ranked within the top 10 on most peoples lists. However, I’d make a $1 bet on Cutler vs. Wilson. What do you say sir?

    2. Now THAT is a bold prediction. A lot of people are hyping Mason, but I’m not so convinced. I don’t think he’ll eat 30% of touches, but I could be wrong. I think STL loves Stacy and want him to be the man while Mason develops.

    3. While you can shave your head, take a picture and send me a bottle of wine(I don’t like liquor), please don’t send any hair. I know Garcon will go in as WR1, but I think by the end of the year Jackson will shine. $1 Jackson > Garcon? Where is your bold WR prediction?

    4. Is Ebron your bold prediction? Are you saying him as a top 10 TE? I think you’re daft on that one. I mean that in a nice way also, kind of the what I’d say to you if we were drinking. Sort of like, “Ebron in the top 10, you’re out of your mind”. Not in a snarky way. I think there are way too many TE options in Detroit for him to become a star this year. Maybe 2-3 years, but not this year. I thought his drafting was absolutely baffling.

    Thanks for response man!

    Like

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