No, seriously, this post really is about Jeremy Bonderman. I know, I know, I am talking about instilling confidence in a guy who owns a career 4.48 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Well aware we are talking about the same guy who has started 197 games, while only winning 68. Finally, he is also the same player who was shellacked by the lowly Minnesota Twins for seven runs in 4.2 innings on his first start of the season. You have my complete assurance that I have not out right lost my mother freaking marbles. Although, when I watch analysis from MLB.com it makes me question my last statement, it still stands to reason that owning Bonderman might just surprise you.
For starters, Bonderman has proved to be somewhat of an innings eater, posting 170 innings or better in five of his eight years in the league (162 in his rookie season), as well as six complete games. He is only 30 years young, and at the age where his 2.9 K/9 rating is adequate enough evidence that he needs to outsmart hitters rather than blow past them. Many pitchers start to “get it” at this age, and I believe this could very well be one of those situations. I am not trying to plant a seed with ideas of a career year (you would have to go back to 2008 for that), I am merely pointing out that it’s late June and most of the young and/or serviceable arms are well off the wire by now – so it’s time to take a shot on guys who could prove helpful in getting you sufficient performances for the remainder of the season.
Let’s forget about that first start altogether. His stat line for the year would look something like this: 20 innings pitched, 7K’s, 1.11 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 3 Quality Starts, all while keeping his pitch counts below 100. As it stands now, even with that atrocious first outing, his ERA and WHIP are both well below his career average. In my opinion he is a fine wire add heading into mid-season. Sure, you might incur a bump or two, possibly even three, though, if you can get 10-12 quality outings the rest of the season and it will only cost you a buck, then I do not see any harm in taking a flier to see what unfolds. If he bombs, it would have only cost you a buck. That’s a safer player than spending ¼ to ½ of your FAAB on a guy who gets relegated to the pen because of logjam, or is flat-out crapping the bed.
The price is right, the risk is minimal, and the league pretty much has no faith because of his history. Sounds like the right way to spend a buck to me. Keeping a low risk environment has served me pretty well in the past, and I am sure it will continue to do so. If it should happen my one dollar investment busts over the course of a few starts, then I simply drop him. Owners seem to find it harder to drop a guy when they put large amounts down to attain them, so please, do not be that guy. You have to make the smallest investments work because of the length of the season. Most leagues only start you off with $100-$150 on one dollar minimums and $1,000 to $1,500 on $100 minimums. Going that deep on one guy is just flat-out bad form in my opinion, and you leave yourself with considerably less room for injury replacements or needs. No one is a fantasy genius (it’s all based on strategies applied and a little luck in health), so every player you claim off the wire is not going to pan out. You have to leave room for small losses to possibly put you in line for the biggest payoff!
For my next trick, I will give a real example from my own league of how two wire adds worked out so far for their respected teams:
As you can see in the example above, there was an enormous, if not gargantuan difference in the two tales in regards to production and their bidding prices. This is what performing at a high level looks like – letting your opponents pay huge for nothing while you pay pennies for fantasy gold. My decision to write about Bonderman was based on the fact that he is a good candidate for being someone you can utilize for the rest of the season, or at the very least for a few more starts, for a very cheap price. He is not the only person on your wire that fits this mold, so take a look at players who have put together a few nice starts and give them a chance (the pickings are only getting slimmer). If there is one point I want to hammer home in closing, it is this: Forget all about the names, just look at the production and the cost to attain that specific individual.
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Categories: Fantasy Baseball