“Around the Ben”: I.D.P Rankings – Safety 1-15 (Part 1 of 2) 2013
The next to last segment of these rankings pertain to safety.
1.) LaRon Landry – The Colts had a glaring weakness at safety, and Landry will immediately step in and improve the unit. He hits like a linebacker, and will create turnovers. The question with him is health. Should he stay healthy like he did last season, expect 105 total tackles (TT), 2 sacks (SK) 4 forced fumbles (FF), 1 fumble recovery (FR), an interception (INT) and 8 passes defensed (PDs). Worthy of DB1 consideration in all formats.
2.) Morgan Burnett – If you draft Burnett as the first safety off the boards, I don’t blame ya, as this guy is flat out nasty. Amassing 230 TT, 4 FF, 3 FR, 5 INT, and 16 PD the past 2 seasons, this guy could still yet reach his full potential in the Green Machine secondary. Expect 115 TT, 3 SK, 3 FF, 1 FR, 2 INT, and 9 PD.
3.) Harrison Smith – There will be a great divide within him in terms of what he did last season. Some think it was a fluke, some think he is for real. Chances are, breakout performances like that in rookie campaigns are for real. The Vikings seem to have a star in the making on their hands at safety, and Smith should stake his claim to one of the top safeties for good this season and go 105 TT, 2 SK, 1 FF, 3 FR, 2 INT, and 14 PD. The common denominator among the top 3 names on this list are Landry, Burnett, and Smith all are nasty as hell as hitters.
4.) Eric Weddle – When it comes to consistency at the safety position, there are fewer safe bets than Eric Weddle. A lock to finish among the top safeties every season, expect no less than 95 TT, 1.5 SK, 1 FF, 4 INT, 10 PD, and 3 stuffs (SF).
5.) Stevie Brown – 307 interception return yards on 8 interceptions?!?!?!? That’s what Stevie posted last season. Good enough for the Giants record for return yards after the pick. This season, it’s unlikely he repeats those ridiculous interception and yardage numbers, but he should in the very least add a few more tackles. Anyone who cares to wager against him netting you 85 TT, 3 FF, 2 FR, 5 INT, and 14 PD as a DB1, c’mon put your money down.
6.) Eric Berry – Had it not been for a knee injury that knocked him out for all of the 2011 season, Berry could very easily have challenged for top 3 safety honors. Regardless, Berry rebounded last season and showed the spark and promise he showed from his rookie campaign in 2010. His maturity will improve, and he’ll be relied upon heavily in Kansas City once more. 95 TT, 1.0 SK, 3 INT, and 12 PDs and SF each could easily be in line. Draft with confidence.
7.) Glover Quin – The Lions seem to have a penchant for putting out safety studs almost every season, and Quin should roam freer than he did in Houston. Originally a cornerback, Quin has the potential to put up some gaudy numbers this season, and should be booked for 80 TT, 4 INT, 18 PD and 7 SF.
8.) Roman Harper – Every once in a while a safety comes along and opposing coaches realize it’s going to be a bad day for their quarterback. For the past few seasons, health permitting, all Harper has done is be a total nightmare for opposing coaches and offenses. Worse news, Harper may be getting nastier after posting 7.5 sacks from safety last season. This season, the Harper locomotive will continue to give opposing quarterbacks nightmares, and be on track to produce S1 numbers of 99 TT, 4.5 SK, 2 INT, 12 PD, and 5 SF.
9.) Mark Barron – The Bucs defense is so deep, the entire defense may hurt one another’s value. The good news is once players make it into the secondary, Barron will be there to meet them. Draft him as an S2 with tremendous upside. 95 TT, 2 INT, 11 PD, 5 SF.
10.) Reshad Jones – As a former 5th round pick, Jones proved that later round picks can indeed turn into very solid players. Assuming he can keep on pace with last season’s numbers, Jones should once more be among the top 12 safeties and be a consistent producer for any team. 90 TT, 2.5 SK, 3 FF, 1 FR, 3 INT, and 8 PD should be expected from him on a young and revamped Dolphins defense.
11.) Charles Woodson – One of the most prolific ballhawks in today’s game moves from cornerback on a Super Bowl threat every season, to a team who very well might as well be having a gender crisis (Oakland). The good news is Woodson, now a safety, will have free reigns in Oakland yet again, and should continue his turnover happy ways. Even at the age of 36 and coming off an injury shortened season (broken collarbone), Woodson should still manage to post 60 TT, 2 SK, 8 INT, and 17 PD. Draft him while his stock is down.
12.) Jonathan Cyprien – Out of FIU, Cyprien looks as if he’ll be another one of those linebackers that play safety. Starting at strong safety on a completely rebuilding team in Jacksonville, Cyprien should rack up 80 TT, 5 INT, 1.5 SK, and a handful of PD.
13.) Bernard Pollard – Pollard, now in Tennessee, should have more opportunity to roam the field and hit, but will need his interception total to rebound, or he could be a one category contributor. The days of 100+ tackles might be numbered, but he is still a lock for 100 TT, 2 SK, and a handful of Pd. The key question is if he will contribute any interceptions.
14.) Kam Chancellor – The only thing missing from his 2012 campaign was interceptions, but those will return this season, so draft him while his value is low. Seattle’s defense is stacked, and their starters will be genuine values this season. Nothing less than 100 TT, 2 FF, 3 FR, and 8 PD should be expected from Chancellor of the Seattle secondary.
15.) William Moore – Moore is becoming the enforcer in Atlanta’s secondary, and in his fourth season, Moore could be looking at a career year. Money says Moore goes 80 TT, 2 FF, 2 FR, 5 INT, and 10 PD. The departure of Robinson and Grimes only means more opportunities for Moore and Co.