Alright folks, the fantasy playoffs are knocking at the door. I am pleased to share my debut article on Major League Fantasy Sports. I hope you guys were able to make it through the bye week gauntlet and clinch a playoff berth. My purpose for this article is to assist those owners through the most important match-ups of the season.
With 6 teams playing on Thursday, this week it is very important to get your lineups set early and correctly. The first thing is to START YOUR STUDS! Seems simple right? Well, take it from a guy who over thinks from time to time. I own Philip Rivers, who has struggled to match his QB 1 numbers from the first half of the season. I outsmarted myself by starting Case Keenum vs Jacksonville, who’s the worst D/ST in the league. I sat Rivers on my bench since he faced KC, the best D/ST. As you can guess, this was a bad decision. Rivers 33fp > Keenum 4fp. This is the time to ride those players who got you where you are now. So without further ado, here’s Who’s Going to Eat!
Who’s Gonna Eat
1.) CJ Spiller vs Atl – Spiller has struggled as of late with a bum ankle. Well, not this week. He has had two weeks to rest, and will feast against a horrendous Falcons D, who has been torched by similar speed backs. B. Rainey and Andre Ellington posted 150 plus and a score.
2.) Josh Gordon vs Jax – Gordon has been fantastic since returning from a 2-game suspension. Campbell is most likely out week 13. But it doesn’t matter who has been the QB this year in Cleveland. Gordon is gonna eat. Weeden showed good chemistry with Flash, so don’t fret. Besides, I bet Weeden is already staring down the first receiver he is going to throw to. Lucky for Flash owners, he is the usual suspect.
3.) Andre Brown vs Was – Brown is finally healthy. He has been a shot in the arm to a pedestrian running game in NY, which bodes well for Eli, who has struggled mightily all year. Look for Brown to hit the century mark with a score.
4.) Keenan Allen vs Cin – Allen fell in the draft do to a PCL injury and a slow 40-yard dash. Allen is the clear #1 in a top 7 passing offense, YES PLEASE. Allen should put up great numbers against a banged up Cincy secondary, who lost it’s best CB, Hall. Let the thunder roll, as this lighting bolt will continue to strike.
5.) Eddie Lacy vs Det – Seems like a given, right? Well, actually, Detroit is very solid against the run. Lacy is the center piece of the Green Bay offense, as long as A.Rod is sidelined. I believe Lacy is match up proof. Trust me, the big boy is gonna eat. Like Allen, Lacy also fell in the draft due to injury concerns. Both have paid dividends for their respective teams and fantasy owners.
6.) Gio Bernard vs SD – Cincinnati has really struggled in the passing game as of late. Look for Cincy to recommit to the run coming off a bye. I also believe they want to run the ball this week to keep red hot Philip Rivers and company off the field as much as possible. Start Gio as a RB2 with upside this week against the porous Chargers D, that was ripped apart by Jamaal Charles.
7.) Rod Streater vs Dal – McGloin has made Streater very relevant these days. Streater flashed big play ability last year, and was relatively quiet while Pryor was under center. Well, not anymore! The Streater and McGloin connection is real. This is a very tasty match up vs one of the worst Pass Ds in the league. Rod will eat!
8.) Any Defense facing Geno Smith – Smith has thrown for 2100 yards, 8 TDs, and, wait for it…16 INT. 10 of those have come in the last 6 weeks, and only 1 TD in that same span. Ivory is banged up again. I know, what a shocker. So that means Rex Ryan will be forced to rely on Geno 911 even more. This week it is the Miami Dolphins who will eat against the Jets.
9.) Green Bay WRs vs Det – This is even more so if Rodgers is cleared to play. Green Bay has not been the offensive juggernaut we have grown accustomed to under the Rodgers era. However, they seemed to have found a band-aid in the prodigal son that returned home, aka Matt Flynn. Flynn may be a one hit wonder who fell on his face in both Seattle and Oakland. Hey, at least he got paid. Flynn knows the Packers system very well and actually thrives in it. The Green Bay WRs might not have the same ceiling without A.Rod and his ridiculous looking Freddy Mercury stash, but they do have a much higher floor.
Who’s Not Gonna Eat
1.) LeVeon Bell vs Bal – Bell has put up RB2 numbers since his return to action. However, those numbers are touchdown dependent. With Pitts poor o-line and Baltimore’s stiff front four, there will not be much running room for Bell this week. I am not suggesting you bench him, but lower your expectations. I expect anywhere from 5-7 FP in standard leagues.
2.)Lamar Miller vs NYJ – This almost feels like stating the obvious. The reason I feel the need to mention Miller is because Daniel Thomas is out for the season, and will not be around to vulture carries. The Jets have the best run D in the league, surrendering only 72.6 rushing yards per game. Miller has done next to nothing as of late, with 26 yards on 21 carries. Keep Miller on your bench until he proves to be productive.
4.) Eric Decker vs KC – KC will follow the blueprint laid out by New England. Manning has not looked the same since he rolled his ankle a few weeks ago. KC is coming off two losses, and will be fired up in front of their home crowd in Arrowhead Stadium. Decker will be bottled up by Eric Berry all game.
5.) Andre Johnson vs NE – Johnson was on fire during Keenum’s first couple of starts, until defensive coordinators got some film on Keenum and figured out his weakness is “pressure.” The reason I’m down on Johnson is strictly do to the QB situation in Houston. Johnson is an elite talent. Johnson will also be shadowed by Aqib Talib, who has shutdown every WR and TE he has faced this season. Jimmy Graham was completely shut down by Talib as well as Demaryius Thomas, who was very quiet until a beautiful fade pass from Manning in the back of the end zone. Talib is the “Real Deal Holyfield,” and should not be underestimated.
Percy Harvin vs NO – Harvin is a big play waiting to happen. Look for the limited snap count from week 11 to be lifted. Seattle has lost two key members of their secondary, due to substance abuse violations. This means Drew Brees and company will be able to pass the ball effectively, causing Seattle to have to match points. Who better for Russell Wilson to throw to than one of the most explosive players in the NFL? Harvin is a bit of a risk, since we haven’t seen him in this offense. This is a risk that could pay off huge and be the difference in a championship. If I own Harvin, I find a way to get him in my lineup. Massive flex appeal.
That’s going to do it for this weeks installment of Who’s gonna eat. I wish you and yours a Happy Thanksgiving. Good Luck this week, and if you have any lineup question you can reach me on Twitter Fan2See@dunbar_dennis.