“Alluhring Strategy” 2015 MLB Draft Recap: AL West

I may be in the minority of fantasy baseball enthusiasts, but I love me some MLB amateur draft. Although this draft may not have had a lot of blue chip prospects, there were a lot of players that have intriguing upside. There were some high risk/high reward types that are recovering from injury. As always, there were some teams that reached out of panic rather than value. After all was said and done, there were a few teams that separated themselves from the rest with the draft haul this season. Over the next three weeks, I will be breaking down some of the notable selections and how they might impact your favorite team or fantasy rosters in the near and not so distant future. I will be covering the American League teams and focusing on one division each week. Up first…the American League West. It seems that AL West teams outside the state of Texas, took the draft off this season.

 

Highest Ceiling Pick

Pick #5, Kyle Tucker OF, HOU

 

Height – 6’4”

Weight – 175 lbs

School – High School (FL)

Expected Draft Range — #4 – #10

ETA – 2018

The Astros set an early trend of drafting MLB blood lines in the first few rounds.. Kyle is the brother of current Astros prospect, Preston Tucker, who made his MLB debut this May. He is currently the starting LF for Astros batting anywhere from 2-4 in the order. As much as the Astros like Preston’s potential, they were thrilled to get Kyle who could develop into a five-tool player by the time he reaches the Major League level. His floor is at least average or better at all five-tools. He has excellent plate discipline for a prep hitter and could have the sweetest left-handed swing in the draft. He already exhibits a plus hit tool and should develop plus power once he fills out and adds the 15-20 lbs. that the pro trainers will work toward. He played CF in High School with an average glove and above average arm. He projects as a corner outfielder at the Major League level. Now that Houston has promoted four prospects this season, they needed a replenishment and Tucker slots in the organization’s Top 10 immediately, if not Top 5. Dynasty leaguers will be drafting him high in their MiLB drafts and should be a top target for dynasty teams that are in a full rebuild. All other leagues should monitor his progress but shouldn’t be on redraft or standard keeper rosters for another year or two.

 

Biggest Steal

Pick #78, Michael Matuella RHP, TEX

 

Height – 6’6″

Weight – 220 lbs

School – Duke University

Expected Draft Range — #15 – #30

ETA – 2017

Texas did well with the #4 overall pick as they selected what many believe is the best overall pitcher in the draft in Dillon Tate. The hard-throwing right-handed pitcher is a potential #1 starter. Down in the 3rd round, the Rangers also picked up Matuella who entered the draft season as a consideration for the #1 overall selection on draft day. He has a huge frame with natural downward plane makes his 93-97 fastball look even faster. He has a four-pitch arsenal with above-average command. His arsenal is led by a plus-plus fastball and plus curve He also sports an above average slider that flashes plus and a developing change-up. He has He has the upside of a #1 type, but injury history caused him to drop down to the 3rd round. He had Tommy John surgery in April, but that alone didn’t cause the entire league to pass on him twice through. Last year, Jeff Hoffman was selected by the Blue Jays at #11 despite having the surgery just a few months prior to the draft. Brady Aiken had the surgery this past season and went #17 in this very draft. Matuella’s frame and size should give him a good shot at a full recovery. The concern with him is that he suffered a significant back injury in college prior to the torn UCL. He is the epitome of high risk/high reward. If he can get back to full health, he will be the biggest steal in this draft. Once he gets going, he should move quickly through the system and could be in the Texas’ rotation in 2017. Texas may have scored two #1 type starters in this draft. Outside of dynasty leagues, he isn’t worth a look until he actually starts pitching competitively and proves he is healthy. Look out for him in 2017.

Biggest Reach

Pick #26, Taylor Ward C, LAA

 

Height – 6’1″

Weight – 190 lbs

School – Fresno State University

Expected Draft Range — #50 – #85

ETA – 2017

This felt like a panic move. The draft class was very weak for catchers after two went top 10 in 2014. (Schwarber & Pentecost) The Angels don’t have a decent catcher at the Major League level or anywhere in their system so I understand the urgency. I just feel there was a lot of great talent on the board still at #26 and they wasted the pick on another fringe starter. The Angels must think there is more to his offense to invest such a high pick in him. He has a plus arm and his defensive is developing. There isn’t a lot to get excited about at the plate. Average hit tool, slight pull power, but it probably won’t develop into more than average. His arm will get him a job but the whole package projects as a career backup. Catchers usually develop slowly in the minors as they learn all the needed receiving skills and game calling. Despite the panic pick, I can’t see him reaching Anaheim until at least 2017. There is really no need to keep tabs on him from a fantasy perspective as he isn’t likely to make any significant fantasy impact.

 

Fastest Path to the Majors

Pick #79, Riley Ferrell RHP

 

Height – 6’2″

Weight – 200 lbs

School – Texas Christian University

Expected Draft Range — #30 – #65

ETA – 2015???

Last year, college teammate, Brandon Finnegan, went from College World Series to the Kansas City Royals bullpen in the same year. Riley Ferrell could be this year’s draft pick with the best shot at reaching the pros this season. While Finnegan was a projected starter at this level, there is no question Ferrell’s future is in the bullpen and could be a future dominate closer. He only has two pitches so TCU was content letting him close out games with a plus-plus fastball that sits in the mid-90s and touches 98. He also as a plus put-away slider that drops about 10 MPH off his fastball. The current TCU closer could prove to be a great value in the 3rd round. His command is average at best and he does not have another pitch worth a damn, but if the Houston brass feel his stuff can get Major League hitters out, don’t be surprised to see him move quickly through the system and get called up this fall. If they are in contention, power arm in the bullpen could be as valuable as a deadline trade. Fantasy owners in all league should keep an eye out for a late season lift.

Best Team Draft

Pick #2, Alex Bregman SS, Pick #5, Kyle Tucker OF, Pick #37, Daz Cameron OF, Pick #46 Thomas Eschelman RHP, Pick #79 Riley Ferrell RHP

 

 The Astros had to score big in this draft after their debacle in 2014. They had the most  bonus money to distribute and the extra 1st Round pick as compensation for Brady Aiken. They made the most of these assets and redeemed themselves. With all the prospects being promoted to Houston this year, they need to replenish the system and arguable got three Top 10 talents in the draft.

We have already discussed Kyle Tucker and Riley Ferrell, but there are some other significant players they added in the first few rounds. I would have loved to see Houston have the stones to take Brendan Rodgers with the 2nd overall pick as I believe he was the best overall prospect in the draft with the highest ceiling. However, Houston played it safe since that pick was not protected and they would not have received compensation if he didn’t sign. They had the bonus money, but they must have felt that it was too much of a risk that he wouldn’t sign. Instead, they “settled” for one of the most polished hitters in the draft class. Alex Bregman isn’t big in stature, but his plus hit tool, quick swing and advanced plate discipline make him close to “sure thing” to contribute at the highest level. He already shows average or better at all five tools, but won’t develop plus-plus tools like fellow organization-mates Kyle Tucker or Daz Cameron. It is a little puzzling they would select a SS so high with Carlos Correa penciled in as the starting SS for the next decade and Altuve likely to be around for a while. That being said, if he moves through the system quickly, he becomes a valuable trade asset or the club could consider moving Correa over to 3B if they believe Bregman can stick at the position. Experts gave a range of pick 2-6 for him so he is considered a Top 5 talent.

If Matuella never quite gets his health on track, Daz Cameron could wind up becoming the biggest steal in the draft. He is another potential five tool players and clearly inherited a plus fielding tool from his gold-glove winning father, Mike Cameron. He also shows a plus hit tool as a prep star and two-time Under Armor All-American. He has a short, quick line-drive swing with gap power. He has speed but might not develop into a base stealer, rather instinctual base runner with excellent range in Center-field. He fell in the draft because of his stated price tag of $5 million signing bonus. After taking Bregman at #2, they felt they would have enough to over-pay at #37 to reel in another Top 10 talent. It should be interesting to see how high the Astros are willing to go or if he will honor his commitment to Florida State. If he does sign, he will need several years to finish developing all his tools, but Houston can afford to be patient with all the young talent already on the 25 Man roster.  Cameron is another name that will be hot around dynasty circles, but I wouldn’t expect to see if him impact your fantasy roster until at least 2018. It might be longer if he goes to college.

The final player to touch on to round out the Astros solid draft class is RHP Thomas Eschelman out of Cal St Fullerton. He is the epitome of “pitchability” as he has not plus pitchers (or even above average), but has plus-plus command. He is the perfect pitcher to sit at the back of your rotation and eat up innings and limit damage. He does throw four pitches just to mix things up, but his total command of the strikes zone is why the Astros wanted him in the 2nd round. He should move through the system quickly and make the Astros’ rotation some time in 2016. There might be a low ceiling, but the high floor makes him a near lock to contribute and should be on your fantasy radar. He could become a poor man’s Mark Buerhle.

I love the Astros’ draft because they mixed high ceiling guys with high floor guys with a good mix of talent that can and should contribute as soon as this season as well as potential All-star talent that will develop in a few years. Now hopefully, the can put the 2014 draft to rest and never speak of it again.

 

Bryan Luhrs
Major League Fantasy Sports
Writer & Contributor
Real Deal Dynasty Sports
League Developer & Executive League Commissioner
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

(Click the BLUE link below to listen to the show)

Major League Fantasy Sports Radio Show: Join Ej Garr and Corey D Roberts on Sunday June 21st from 7-9pm EST for this Fathers Day edition of Major League Fantasy Sports Radio sponsored by The Sports Palooza Radio Network. Call in at 646-915-8596. This week’s topics will be everything fantasy related in the A.L. East and A.L. West divisions.

This week’s guests are Joe Iannone, Kyle Amore, and Joe Ciccone. Joe Iannone handles the A.L. East, A.L. Central divisions. You can read his articles every Monday. Kyle Amore handles the N.L. East, and N.L. Central. Kyle’s articles publish every Tuesday. Joe Ciccone is our Chief Editor, and he also handles everything out West in the MLB. You can catch his articles every Wednesday. Come join us for a spirited debate.
If you can’t make it to the live airing you can always download the podcast at I-Tunes or Google Play stores. Search for “Sports Palooza Radio Show”. Android owners download “Podcast Republic” and then search on podcast republic for “Sports Palooza Radio Show.”
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
(Click the BLUE link to watch then hit play)
Join us for week one of our Major League Fantasy Football Weekly Youtube Show on Saturday June 20th, 2015 from 2-3:30pm EST. This show will run every Saturday from 2-3:30pm EST throughout the season. Lou Landers, Ron McCleese, and Jeff Nelson will be your hosts every week. Our guest this week is Bryan Robinson who is a writer with our organization. We will have Devin Joseph Offensive Lineman from the St Louis Rams on the show in the coming weeks. I am also working on Jerrell Freeman the MLB from the Colts. Come by and ask some questions to the boys and have some fun!


Categories: Baseball Writers, Fantasy Baseball, Major League Fantasy Sports, Minor Leaguer Projections, MLFS Authors

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Join the discussion

%d bloggers like this: