“Sauer Notes” Shopping at the Dollar Store, $1 Auction Targets
Have you ever gone to Florida, or places with miles of boardwalk, with novelty stores seemingly covering the whole strip? You know, the places that hang the “you mad bro?” T-shirts in the window? Among these shops, you’ll see several “everything is a dollar” stores standing next to one another, selling those cheap magnets, and shark tooth necklaces. In the fantasy realm, we essentially find ourselves shopping at these type stores at the end of auction drafts. Everybody is down to their last $3 dollars, aimlessly trying to rummage through the crumbage, looking for that diamond in the rough. If you find yourself in a position with a few dollars left, and already have your defense and kicker locked up, these are some players you can look to snag up with that dollar you found in the dryer.
Dwayne Bowe, Cleveland Browns
Let me start by saying, can it get any worse than last year for Bowe? As bad as moving to Cleveland may seem, it can’t get any worse than Kansas City; they threw up a goose-egg in terms of touchdowns caught by WR. He may have made a lateral move in terms of joining an equally abominable passing team. Nevertheless, the soon-to-be 31 year-old, should he even fall into the end-zone one time this year, he would eclipse the total he put up last year. The Browns’ ineptitude as a franchise, along with Bowe’s poor recent production, seem to be destroying his draft position. In actuality, Bowe is a wide receiver value that you can’t pass up.
Bowe clearly has the most experience of anyone else as a featured receiver. Brian Hartline received some time as the top target in Miami, but was quickly phased out last season after scoring just five total touchdowns in two years. Andrew Hawkins was Cleveland’s top target last season, but was unable to do much with it as a 5-foot-7, 180 pound slot receiver. Taylor Gabriel is inexperienced, undersized, and undrafted, and Travis Benjamin flat-out stinks. In fact, Bowe’s best competition may come from fourth round selection Vince Mayle, as he is the only other player to measure up physically as a potential top target. I think Bowe’s position as the top target in Cleveland is fairly safe at this point.
Dwayne Bowe is a value you simply cannot pass up right now in fantasy drafts. I think the Chiefs’ inability to throw a TD to a WR and the Browns’ propensity to be awful has diminished his ADP to a ridiculously low level. Even the aforementioned Hawkins was able to turn his role with the team into WR48 season last year. I have to imagine that Bowe can at least meet, if not exceed that, in 2015; making him a steal at his WR66 price. There is very little upside with this pick, but to grab a team’s No. 1 WR, albeit the Browns, he is a player worth consideration at the expense of the change found in your couch. Or Tim’s couch, or Tim Couch. Johnny Football you wear that number proudly!
Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy owners are keeping a keen eye on the WR3 battle taking place in Green Bay between Jeff Janis and Ty Montgomery, which you can read about in Stromme’s Value at the End of the Draft and The Best Way to Get There. And Rightfully so, whoever comes out on top in Green Bay will be catching rockets from the arm of Aaron Rodgers, a very coveted asset in the fantasy community. Another battle owners should pay attention to, is the WR3 position in Indy. Arguments can be made for either QB being QB1 , having a share in their aerial attack is something owners lust after.
The Indianapolis Star’s Stephen Holder reports Colts’ rookie Phillip Dorsett has the “inside track” to the No. 3 receiver job. Holder admits this is a position battle that is still playing out. Dorsett is the fastest receiver on the team and gets the edge on Donte Moncrief because he can play inside and outside. Moncrief has size and is equally explosive. While Dorsett has a leg up for the No. 3 job, both players will be highly inconsistent week-to-week performers. The notion that the Colts’ elected to take Dorsett with their first-round draft choice this year tells me they have some questions about Moncrief and his ability to contribute on a consistent basis.
This is defintiely a position battle worth keeping an eye on as the WR3 in this offense will see a healthy amount of snaps catching the ball from arguably the most touted QB in the fantasy industry, especially with the loss of Jordy Nelson for Aaron Rodgers. If an injury were to happen to Andre Johnson or T.Y Hilton, this pick could be fire. We would see a full display of the blazing speed from Phillip “Flash” Dorsett in Indy. Stock in the number one passing offense is like investing in Apple, before the company became the technology empire you see today. Dorsett should be a player you are investing your last pennies on, with the potential to bring back supreme value if an injury were to take place. Even the No. 3 WR in this ascending offense of the Colts’ is money worth spending towards.
Jacob Tamme, Atlanta Falcons
At this point in your draft, you are not looking for someone who is going to be a consistent contributor on a week-to-week basis. You’re seeking for players who could fill in for your bye-weeks, injuries, or suspensions. Say you took Antonio Gates as your TE1, and were not able to back him up with Ladarius Green for the first four games of Gates’ suspension. Or say you drafted Julius Thomas before the news that he could miss another month with that broken finger. Tamme is a player you could be looking to fill the void for the time missed by those players who can’t stay on the gridiron.
Tamme joins the Falcons’ in 2015, where he is slated to be the No. 1 TE over the likes of often injured Tony Moeaki and Levine Toilolo. Tamme spent his first seven NFL seasons primarily catching passes from Peyton Manning in Indianapolis and Denver, made an immediate impression with his pass-catching ability this offseason. He looks poised to come in and become a real threat in Kyle Shanahan’s offense. It’s hard to compare him to a guy such as future Hall of Famer Tony Gonzalez, but Tamme can be the reliable pass-catcher the Falcons haven’t had since Gonzalez retired. The 6-foot-3-inch, 230-pound Tamme isn’t going to overwhelm you with his size, but he finds a way to get open and is fluid with his routes.
The veteran has only caught 34 passes over the past two seasons combined, but he figures to be the pass-catching tight end in new OC Kyle Shanahan’s offense. And given Shanahan’s penchant for using tight ends, Tamme could carve out a nice role for himself this season. The savvy route-runner still has a knack for finding soft spots in zones, and could be a threat for Matt Ryan in the red-zone. Again, Tamme is not a player you want to be throwing in your lineup on a consistent basis, but can be a viable fill-in when he is needed. There are players with higher upside than Tamme: Richard Rodgers in Green Bay, Austin Seferian-Jenkins in Tampa Bay, and Eric Ebron in Detroit come to mind. Nevertheless, those players may go for more than the $1 you found in your winter jacket from last year, based upon their upside, whereas, Tamme can be bought for chump change, or even scooped off the waiver wire. Talk about a value play!
Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills
Rex and company finally named their starter for the season opener against the Colts’ in Week 1. I say only for Week 1, because we could see another QB under center as the starter for the Bills’ shortly there after. Rivaling other teams for the most atrocious QB situation in the league were the Bills’, where they were deciding between journeyman Matt Cassell, uninspiring and under-performing EJ Manuel, or the guy who never started in an NFL game, Tyrod Taylor. It seems the Bills’ QB situation has always floundered in the basement of the league ever since the days of Jim Kelly. (Looking at you, J.P. Losman and Trent Edwards.)
Taylor has never started an NFL game and only appeared in 14 in four seasons as a backup in Baltimore, with just 35 pass attempts, but Rex Ryan has seen enough of him to give him a chance – or maybe he just hasn’t seen enough from Cassel or Manuel. The story points out that Taylor gives the Bills’ a chance to make plays on the ground as well as in the air, but this is a run-first offense that will rely heavily on the shoulders of LeSean McCoy.
Taylor has looked extremely sharp thus far, but one can not put too much stock into these games, as most teams are playing vanilla defensive schemes, not throwing too much on the table. Taylor is the perfect compliment in a two QB league if you drafted one of the top five studs at the position. His ability to accumulate rushing statistics will make him a viable fantasy asset in those type of league setups. Remember when Tebow was the hot commodity to have as a second QB because he was picking up all those yards on the ground? Well we can expect similar contributions from Taylor in new OC Greg Roman’s offense. There will be some read-option, just as we saw with Kaepernick when Roman was in San Fran. He will not pick-apart defenses with his arm, but if he can get his explosive targets like Sammy Watkins the ball close to the line of scrimmage and he breaks off a big run-after-catch, Taylor will also gain those yard totals.
This is not a QB you want as your No. 1, even if you wait on the position and draft heavy at the WR and RB positions. He is best suited for two QB leagues, and can supplement an efficient consistent QB 1. Taylor is a great $1 investment, but be aware that he can be riding the pine before you know it, due to a short leash and high expectations for the team.
Brandon Coleman, New Orleans Saints- This was another WR3 battle to keep an eye on, until the Saints’ released Nick Toon. Head Coach Sean Payton singled-out Coleman as the player who has impressed him the most in camp. He has the size, a 6-foot-6, 225 Lbs. frame will be a problem for defensive backs in the red zone and plays with an elite quarterback in Drew Brees. With Graham now in Seattle, Kenny Stills in Miami and Colston aging, Coleman has plenty of upside as a late-round flier.
Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks- Have you seen this guy return kicks this preseason? He is straight electric, and Richard Sherman called the internet community to make a Mario Kart parody, and he received his wish.
Aside from that, when the Seahawks made, what for them is a rare move, to trade up for Lockett in the third round, they not only nabbed one of the more productive wide receivers in the draft, but also one of its most dangerous returners, something Seattle’s special teams largely has been missing the last two seasons. If your league rewards points for return yardage and such categories, this is a player you should definitely be targeting with that last dollar of yours.
Philly Brown, Carolina Panthers- The devastating injury to Kelvin Benjamin really hurt the thin receiving corps in Carolina. Leaving rookie Devin Funchess to take on the No. 1 receiving threat. After Benjamin’s injury, Funchess was flying up draft boards and for good reason. The injury also opens the door for Philly Brown to step in and be the No. 2 WR for Carolina. The speedy former Buckeye has shown inconsistencies throughout his career so far in the NFL, and it does not help having an inconsistent QB in Newton. But where there is opportunity, there lies a chance for production, and for $1 you could do worse.
Football is upon us my friends. Stay tuned to the website for all things fantasy football, as we help you with your drafts, and moves as the season progresses.
Find me on twitter: @zaksauer
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