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“65 Mustangs” Pick Your Spots, Relief Pitchers & Spot Starting Guide. Week 15, ALL STAR Edition.

There are only three days of games this week, so i doubt there will be a lot of spot starting needed to get through. I’d like to list my pitching selections for the All Star Game as well, but first, though, I thought this would be a good week to take a look at my first three months of ranking spot starts. This is risky, as it may show whether or not you should continue reading my articles. I’m up for the challenge. It has been too fun of a ride. Plus, I’m just showing what can be accomplished with a bit of extra research. My teams are better for it. I’ve always been ratio challenged with pitching but not this season.

locke ball 2

I’ll list 14 weeks of predictions and the results, then compare that to some interesting stuff. I’m going to use standard stats such as Hits; Walks; Ks; IPs; Wins; QS; and my own QS formula that includes 5 inning Wins, or 5 innings with less than 2 runs allowed, as those pitchers contributed to your week even if they didn’t go 6 innings. Then I want to compare those results to what owning that pitcher would have given you over the 14 weeks. Normally I’m looking for a Quality Start with some K’s when looking for a spot starter. Let’s see how it looks.

WEEKS STRTS IP HITS RUNS WLKS HR SO WINS QS
14 147 799.8 791 358 283 104 661 57 86
% QUALITY ST 58.5%
PER WEEK 10.50 57.13 56.50 25.57 20.21 7.43 47.21 4.07 6.14
PER NINE 8.901 4.029 3.185 1.170 7.438
PER START 5.441 5.381 2.435 1.925 0.707 4.497
K/BB 2.336
ERA 4.029
WHIP 1.343

 

If I’m looking for a Quality Start, what did I get on average?

Of about 10 starts per week, some more some less due to 2 start pitchers, I averaged about 6 Quality Starts or 60%. So, I’m happy with that.

Zach-Davies-300x199

My ERA & WHIP is 4.029/1.343:  The ERA is right in line or just ahead of a Quality Start so that makes sense, but the WHIP is high, mostly due to high walk rates (3.18/9). That is why these guys are not widely owned, especially in a 5 By 5.

Danny-Duffy-Kansas-City-Royals-Beard

Strikeouts: I averaged 7.438/9IP. That may not sound elite of course, but who would not be happy with 5 or 6 strikeouts in 6 innings from a spot?

A GUERRA

Incorrect Theories: I thought as the season went on I added far more choices each week. Week one I picked 5 pitchers but in Weeks 12-14 it was more like 12. I thought that would make it tougher to get a high percentage but it was just the opposite. It could be that the pitchers got better, as in more consistent and predictable, or maybe I got better at picking them, but at any rate, 10 is probably a good ceiling going forward in the 2nd half.

mengdenstache

Conclusion: Like most major league pitchers I need to cut down on my walks and add a few K’s. That will be a goal for the 2nd half for me, that and getting my QS% up to 70%. Thanks to anyone who read any or all of those articles. Hopefully I helped one person have a better record. I know I am playing far better in the pitching department this season than I ever have.

tillman

This link will take you to article 1. Articles 2-14 are there also.

If you want an Excel Spreadsheet with every game on it for all 14 weeks send me an email at poobah2000@yahoo.com and I’ll get it too you.

2016 MLB ALL STAR PITCHING STAFFS (My Two Cents, and no explanations, argue with me on the message section or on Reddit or Facebook or Tweet me or wherever you read these)

AL (In no particular order)

A FULMER

 

  1. Chris Sale, SP, CHW
  2. JA Happ, SP, TOR
  3. Danny Salazar, SP, CLE
  4. Korey Kluber, SP, CLE
  5. Rich Hill, SP, OAK
  6. Aaron Sanchez, SP, TOR
  7. Michael Fullmer, SP, DET
  8. Steven Wright, SP, BOS
  9. Chris Tillman, SP, BAL
  10. Dellin Betances, RP, NYY
  11. Brad Brach, RP, BAL
  12. Andrew Miller, RP, NYY
  13. Zack Britton, RP, BAL
  14. Masahiro Tanaka, SP, NYY

 

NL

Strasburg

  1. Clayton Kershaw, SP, LAD (I know he is hurt but we’re not really playing)
  2. Johnny Cueto, SP, SFG
  3. Madison Bumgarner, SP, SFG
  4. Jose Fernandez, SP, MIA
  5. Steven Strasburg, SP, WAS
  6. Zack Greinke, SP, AZ (See Kershaw)
  7. Jake Arrieta, SP, CHC
  8. Max Scherzer, SP, WAS
  9. Noah Syndergaard, SP, NYM
  10. Kenley Jansen, RP, LAD
  11. David Phelps, RP, MIA
  12. Mark Melancon, RP, PIT
  13. Jeurys Familia, RP, NYM
  14. John Lester, SP, CHC

 

**CLEW** = Closer En Waiting

*** IRS + H***= Inherited Runners stranded plus Holds

See you next week. Thanks for reading.

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(Click the Red link below to listen)

Major League Fantasy Football Radio: Join Ej GarrCorey D Roberts, and Coach Jeff Nelson live Saturday July 9th from 1-2:30pm EST for episode #63 of Major League Fantasy Football Radio. This is a live broadcast and we take callers at 323-870-4395 press 1 to speak with the hosts. Our first 4 shows of the year covered each AFC division. This week we begin the NFC side with NFC East.

You can find our shows on I-Tunes. Just search for Major League Fantasy Sports in the podcasts section. For Android users go to “Podcast Republic,” then download that app, and search for “Major League Fantasy Sports Show”

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(Click the RED link below to listen)

Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio: Join Corey D Roberts and Kyle Amore live on Thursday June 30th, 2016 from 8-10pm EST for episode #72 of Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio. We are a live broadcast that will take callers at 323-870-4395. Press 1 to speak with the host.

Our guest this week is Marc Foster a veteran owner with MLFS since 2009, an occasional writer, and 3 time champion in MLFB/MLFF leagues.

You can find our shows on I-Tunes. Just search for Major League Fantasy Sports in the podcasts section. For Android users go to “Podcast Republic,” then download that app, and search for “Major League Fantasy Sports Show”

I'm an accountant and an amateur writer of fiction and sports commentary, mostly baseball. I've been a student of the game of baseball since the Dinosaurs roamed the earth, or at least since a few years before the world knew what a designated hitter was. Otherwise, I like "antique" cars of the 60's and 70's and have been a fantasy baseball fanatic since my first draft many years ago. I live in CT with my wife Megan of 25 years, our daughter Caitlin and their (their) cats. I'm also the better looking of the two guys in the the photo.

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